A Bear Market by Time Price still hovering around $90,000. For our preferred scenario—a "bear market by time"—a rally above $100k would be welcome.
All Your Models Are Destroyed Bitcoin drifted sideways around $88k last week. For the first time ever, we closed the third year of the market cycle in the red. Quite a few models have been shattered!
Spectacularly Good and Utterly Disappointing Bitcoin hovers near its 2025 opening price—a fitting end to a split year. Record ETF inflows meet negative returns. The great rotation continues as $100k shifts from destination to starting point.
Crossing the Chasm Year-end reflection: 2025 marked a pivotal moment. Bitcoin and crypto bridged the gap from pioneers to the mainstream—but through two radically different paths.
Have we been in a bear market for ten months already? Crypto markets are quiet as bitcoin hovers between $88K-$94K. After a brutal drop from $126K to $80.5K that triggered $9.9B in realized losses, investors are catching their breath. But is this consolidation—or something more bearish?
2025 Predictions Revisited A quiet week on the bitcoin market: higher low, lower volume, then a push to $94K. Did $80.5K mark the bottom? We revisit 77 predictions for 2025—and the results are brutal.
A V-Shaped Bottom: Relief Rally or Bull Market Revival? Bitcoin crashed to $80.5k last Friday before sharply rebounding above $90k. Is this the V-shaped bottom investors have been hoping for—or just a bear market trap?
Now What? No Uptober, no $400k moonshot. Bitcoin has crashed 35% as sentiment turns extremely pessimistic. With investors capitulating for the first time this cycle and rumors of a major collapse, has the bull market officially ended?
The Emergency Brake The emergency brake was triggered. Bitcoin closed below the 50-week moving average, signaling the bull market may be over. Yet with $750B in new capital, fundamentals look excellent. The signals are conflicting. So, what now?
Bear Market Scenarios Bitcoin saw its first daily close below $100k since May, fueling fears the bear market has begun. With confidence at rock bottom, we explore four scenarios: a recovery, a sideways grind, a mild dip, or a devastating crash to $25k. Is the bull run over?