2025 Predictions Revisited

A quiet week on the bitcoin market: higher low, lower volume, then a push to $94K. Did $80.5K mark the bottom? We revisit 77 predictions for 2025—and the results are brutal.

The Real Poverty Line

The official poverty line masks how vulnerable households really are. With soaring housing, healthcare, and childcare costs—plus a monetary system that inflates asset prices—more families depend on subsidies just to get by. Is bitcoin an unexpected way out?

A V-Shaped Bottom: Relief Rally or Bull Market Revival?

Bitcoin crashed to $80.5k last Friday before sharply rebounding above $90k. Is this the V-shaped bottom investors have been hoping for—or just a bear market trap?

Stablecoins as a Rorschach Test

Stablecoins are the market’s Rorschach test. Where alarmists see a 2008 reprise, pragmatists see a global safety net. The inkblot isn't changing, but the projections expose the system's deepening fragility. Also inside: Who really sold the dip, and the muni market's Bitcoin pivot.

Now What?

No Uptober, no $400k moonshot. Bitcoin has crashed 35% as sentiment turns extremely pessimistic. With investors capitulating for the first time this cycle and rumors of a major collapse, has the bull market officially ended?

The Wall of Brussels

Has the bear market begun? As indicators conflict, a jury cried over a $25M MEV exploit, unable to decide if code can be fraud. Meanwhile, Europe tries to stop citizens fleeing high taxes, and an XRP ETF sees a record launch as funds flow out of BTC.

The Emergency Brake

The emergency brake was triggered. Bitcoin closed below the 50-week moving average, signaling the bull market may be over. Yet with $750B in new capital, fundamentals look excellent. The signals are conflicting. So, what now?

Bear Market Scenarios

Bitcoin saw its first daily close below $100k since May, fueling fears the bear market has begun. With confidence at rock bottom, we explore four scenarios: a recovery, a sideways grind, a mild dip, or a devastating crash to $25k. Is the bull run over?

The Seasonless Market

Bitcoin's famous four-year cycle is over, declare analysts. The market has entered a 'maturity era' driven by ETFs and liquidity, not halvings. Like the grain markets of old, Bitcoin is losing its predictable seasons. What happens when the calendar no longer counts?

Hanging by a Thread

The bull market is at its most tense point yet. A government shutdown, bond market stress, and vertigo in AI stocks create a perfect storm of uncertainty. What if AI doesn't deliver on its promises? Bitcoin has arrived at a critical juncture. Is this a new bottom or a bear market trap?